Chell warned that even a brief examination of a captured drone provides Tehran with a quick win by revealing how the U.S. conducts surveillance and how to counter those systems.

"If Iran captures a drone, it could give them an immediate tactical advantage," Chell said.

"It may not yield specific classified data, but it gives insight into the theater of operations, which at any given moment offers an advantage. I wouldn’t doubt it for a heartbeat that it is escalating." 

"Just getting little tidbits of intel starts to paint a picture, giving them different attack plans, battle plans, and thoughts on what the U.S. might be doing. I would be very surprised if this wasn’t an ongoing effort."

Iran's attempts to capture drones underscore growing security volatility in the Strait of Hormuz, the vital international shipping lane where commercial transit has fallen below historic levels since the war broke out in February.

Chell emphasized that any access to captured hardware over the last six months would allow Iranian forces to evaluate sensitive onboard sensors.

"It really speaks to the bigger picture of how the whole intelligence infrastructure works of, say, the Navy, for example," Chell said.

"The other important thing is that when they get their hands on these drones—even if they’re only able to spend some time glimpsing at them before they have to evacuate or abort a mission—is they get a real understanding of the types of sensors on them."

"That gives them a complete picture of how they can launch attacks and evade the type of sensing equipment out there," Chell continued.

"They can understand how to counter or measure the intelligence being gathered, and potentially use that design offensively in their own equipment."

The latest escalation also follows a Sept. 8 incident involving Iran’s capture of a Dive-LD autonomous underwater drone manufactured by defense contractor Anduril.

While Anduril CEO Palmer Luckey said the drone was designed to operate in "environments too dangerous for humans where capture is an expected possibility."

"I can't get into the details, but it provided significant value for months before capture," Luckey dded.

"Unboxing ceremony by our reverse engineers, tomorrow morning!" RQ-170 Sentinel stealth drone seized in 2011—to bolster domestic technology and regional propaganda.

Then-President Barack Obama publicly asked Tehran to return the aircraft. Iran later claimed it reverse-engineered the platform to build domestic lookalikes.

In 2022, a U.S. Navy patrol ship and an MH-60S Seahawk helicopter intercepted an Iranian naval vessel attempting to tow a Saildrone surface vessel in the Gulf.

"Iran actually has a history of attempting this in the past, and at times has been successful," Chell said, noting Washington takes the threat "very, very seriously."

"In other instances where they’ve gotten sail ship drones, for example, and tried to bring them into Iranian territory—" Chell said, pointing back to the RQ-170 seizure: "a number of Iranian drones look suspiciously like the RQ line."

"Still, when the U.S. knows a drone has been captured, they adjust their tactics and operational overview accordingly," Chell, whose firm has been awarded a unmanned systems are the new standard in warfare," Chell said.